Bias, Variance and Loss in Avalanche Forecasting by Peter Donner Revised: April 9, 2019 Statistical theory is relevant to avalanche forecasting through the concepts of…
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A few years ago, one of my best friends was caught in an avalanche somewhere north of here. The avalanche was triggered from above –…
Leave a CommentOriginally published in this winter’s hardcopy issue of Ascent, the Backcountry Snow Journal Not long ago, I heard a story from an old colleague of mine.…
Leave a CommentFrom Ed LaChapelle’s essay The Ascending Spiral in The Avalanche Review 24.1 (photo credit -Wilburn and Jean Pickett Photograph Collection, University of Utah Marriott library…
Leave a CommentA few people have suggested that I condense my Utah Snow and Avalanche Workshop/International Snow Science Workshop presentation into an article. There are very few…
Leave a CommentIn his seminal book The Hunters or the Hunted, the celebrated anthropologist Charles Kimberlin “Bob” Brain postulated that it was our relationship to monsters that established us…
Leave a CommentChris Cawley, Alta Ski Patrolman and frequent backcountry observer, recently shared a great link from NPR about “free will” with decision making…that, according to author Sam Harris,…
Leave a CommentTwo winters ago, a party of self-described expert skiers and snowboarders exited a ski area to center punch a very steep and committing untracked bowl…
Leave a CommentSix people are deeply buried in an avalanche in the Wilson Glade. One is caught but holds onto a tree, safe but not sound. Three…
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